It’s Warren’s Race to Lose

@Spencer_Kellogg

With Iowa still six months out, Elizabeth Warren is the latest front-runner in the race for the 2020 Democratic presidential nomination – and she’s earned it. Her nonstop campaigning, corporate-friendly message, and razor-sharp performances at both early-season debates have proven that Warren has the stuff to make this a long and tough race for Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders.

Warren registered a virtual tie with Biden and Sanders in the latest Monmouth University poll and FiveThirtyEight found she had the highest favorability of any Democratic candidate in the month of August.

Meanwhile, Joe Biden, the media’s presumptive favorite, is clinging to the narrative that he is the most electable person in the field. Let’s get one thing straight: Biden is not electable and he is not going to beat Donald Trump in 2020.

Biden can’t remember things. Lots of things. His memory has faded to the point that he has trouble remember key dates, times, and facts about his life. Bernie Sanders, who looks 20 years Biden’s senior and was last seen smashing a speed bag into his forehead, seems far more mentally equipped for the job — and he’s a ranting, raving communist.

If Biden wasn’t such a hack, if he weren’t so eager to please the industrial military complex, if he wasn’t the kind of man who has stolen and lied his way through every campaign, we might feel the need to show some sincere pity for him.

But how can we feel pity for a politician like Biden? He’s the sort of man who helped engineer the most disastrous and lengthy war in the history of the American experiment, who then has the gall to, as war still rages in the background, sell himself as an astute student of foreign policy.

Poll after poll shows that Americans want nothing to do with the Iraq and Afghanistan wars. In fact, a CNN poll conducted in 2008 – yes, 2008 – showed that more than 58% of Americans wanted the troops out by the end of the year.

It’s almost 12 years later.

That is how much Biden’s foreign policy credentials really mean. Nothing. Squat. He has spent his career doing what he was told, when he was told, and that positioned him to keep the type of power and money needed to feed his many electoral campaigns. Biden boasts of his ability to work with global leaders when he should be apologizing to them and us for his work in the sowing the seeds of murder and despair across the globe.

Biden voted for the wars and he has silently supported the continued assault on the freedom of those sovereign nations’ citizens.

The younger generation has no faith in Biden either. To them, he’s the guy in the background of their favorite Obama picture. Their admiration is for Sanders although they share a sneaking suspicion that he might be a little bit old for the position.

Sitting across from Joe Rogan this last month, Sanders looked like a shell of a man, all stooped over and glaring up at the UFC broadcaster. It was one of only a few genuinely unique moments in a sound-byte heavy campaign season. Watching the Vermont senator cooly shoot the breeze with Rogan on a number of topics ranging from healthcare to student loan debt was a cross cultural moment befitting our times.

Sanders’ ideas have birthed a radical and serious new generation of politicians. He is every bit as responsible for the inspired performances of Reps. Ilhan Omar, Rashida Tlaib, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez as Trump is himself. But Sanders, like ‘the squad,’ is a little too extreme for the meat and potatoes voters in Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Michigan.

Which is why Warren, who spoke before 15,000 – allegedly – in Seattle, Washington, last week, has quietly become the odds-on-favorite for the 2020 nominee. 

Warren’s worst mark is that she lied about her native ancestry. It’s an ugly stain that strikes against the more progressive identity of the Oklahoman’s campaign but it doesn’t disqualify her. In fact, Warren has used it to her advantage, going before Tribal leaders in late August to make a public apology, and then later in the week pledging to make native rights issues a cornerstone of her first term.

Warren’s corporate leaning record could drive boomers, reformed Trumpers, and Hillary Clinton suburban voters to the polls. With Sanders potentially on the ticket as VP, she could also maintain a commitment to the type of dogmas that must be preached in order to rouse the 18 to 35-year-old voting base.

Warren appears amply positioned to take advantage of the weak field in 2020. The September debates, where she will occupy one of the three main podiums, is Warren’s next big chance to impress on the national stage. For now, it’s her race to lose.

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